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Rate Cuts? CPI Says ‘Nope!’

by Karl Denninger
Market-Ticker.org

And here’s the latest…

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, after rising 0.3 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter rose in February, as did the index for gasoline. Combined, these two indexes contributed over sixty percent of the monthly increase in the index for all items. The energy index rose 2.3 percent over the month, as all of its component indexes increased. The food index was unchanged in February, as was the food at home index. The food away from home index rose 0.1 percent over the month.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.4 percent in February, as it did in January. Indexes which increased in February include shelter, airline fares, motor vehicle insurance, apparel, and recreation. The index for personal care and the index for household furnishings and operations were among those that decreased over the month.

If you recall last month I noted that a serious ramp in gasoline prices started just after the survey week so it was definitely going to show up in the numbers this month. It did.

Continue Reading at Market-Ticker.org…

Price Inflation is Sticky and That’s a Problem

by Mike Maharrey
GoldSeek

Price inflation is like the gum on the bottom of your shoe that you just can’t scrape off. Or maybe it’s like a movie theater floor after a big premiere.

It’s sticky.

And that’s a problem.

The CPI data for February wasn’t anything to panic about. But nobody is throwing a party either. That’s because, like that gum adhering to your tennis shoe, it just won’t go away.

And that should come as no surprise given the amount of money the Federal Reserve and the U.S. government have injected into the economy since 2008.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Argentina’s Inflation Slows Down After Three Months of Milei ‘Shock Therapy’

by Christian K. Caruzo
Breitbart.com

The National Institute of Statistics and Census of Argentina (INDEC) announced on Tuesday that Argentina registered a 13.2 percent inflation rate in February, marking the second month in a row where inflation has slowed down as a result of President Javier Milei’s austerity policies.

Upon taking office in December, Milei applied a series of “shock therapy” measures to avoid a total economic collapse in Argentina after nearly two decades of socialist governments left the country teetering on the brink of hyperinflation. Milei began by undoing as many of the hundreds of socialist regulations as possible and has turned his attention towards the near-depleted foreign reserves and a convoluted currency control system.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Inflation Remains Elevated. Is Money Actually Tight?

by Alexander W. Salter
The American Institute for Economic Research

There’s been another bump in the disinflationary road. The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.4 percent in February and 3.2 percent year-over-year, exceeding many economists’ predictions. That’s up slightly from January’s 0.3-percent monthly and 3.1-percent annualized increases.

Much of the increase is due to shelter and gasoline prices, which the BLS reports accounted for “over sixty percent of the monthly increase in the index for all items.” Shelter prices rose 0.4 percent last month. This is a major component of household budgets, which is why the BLS weights it at roughly 30 percent of the CPI. Gasoline gets about a 3.5 percent weight, but these prices rose 3.8 percent last month alone.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

Treasury Secretary Yellen: ‘I Regret Saying Inflation Was Transitory’

THREE YEARS after insisting inflation was transitory, Yellen finally admits she was wrong as inflation continues to persist.

by Jamie White
Info Wars

Biden Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expressed regret for advancing the false talking point that inflation in the U.S. was “transitory.”

After first proclaiming in 2021 that inflation was a “transitory” phenomenon, Yellen finally admitted Wednesday on Fox Business that she was wrong about inflation as it continues to persist in America.

“I regret saying [inflation] was transitory,” Yellen said. “It has come down, but I think transitory means a few weeks to months to most people.”

Continue Reading at InfoWars.com…

Inflation Higher… (and Stocks Too?)

Inflation came in hotter than expected and … stocks rose sharply? Yes, that’s right. Meanwhile, digging through the financial plumbing reveals that everything Susanne Trimbath said is openly admitted to on Nasdaq’s own website publications.

by Dr. Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

Inflation came in hotter than expected and – guess what? – stocks screamed higher … which is the exact opposite of what “should” happen.

But we’ve long since given up on expecting what should happen to actually happen. Stocks have been screaming higher for months on the back of the Fed and US Treasury conspiring to make financial conditions as easy as they’ve been in years. Which runs counter to this whole idea that ‘the Fed is tightening’ that is 100% not true.

Here’s what you get during such periods of time:

My explanation for the extreme desperation on display by the Fed and US Treasury is that their interventions are having to be both larger and more frequent just to keep the whole thing stapled together. Their fear seems to be along the lines of “If we let this thing deflate even slightly, the whole mess might explode in our hands and on our watch.”

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

The White House Claims Borrowing $16 Trillion Over the Next Decade is Fiscally Responsible

If you can’t even get close to balancing the budget when unemployment is low, tax revenues are near record highs, and the economy is booming, when can you do it?

by Eric Boehm
Reason.com

The budget plan President Joe Biden unveiled on Monday would hike taxes, increase federal spending to unprecedented levels, and lock in budget deficits that average nearly $2 trillion annually for the next decade.

But possibly the craziest detail is the fact that the White House is trying to frame all of that as being an exercise in fiscal restraint.

No, really. In a “fact sheet” released alongside the budget, the White House touted how the proposal would cut the deficit by $3 trillion over the next 10 years. “Strong and shared growth that benefits all Americans isn’t just good for working families and the economy; it will also lead to better fiscal outcomes,” the administration claims, adding that Biden believes “long-term investments in our nation and its people should be paid for.”

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation, February: Inflation Saga Far From Over, Core CPI & Core Services in Ominous Six-Month Trend

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Core services CPI — 61% of total CPI and infamous for historic head fakes — is approaching 6% annualized six-month average.

The “core services” CPI (services minus energy services) is crucial. The majority of consumer spending goes to core services, and Powell keeps talking about it. Core services includes housing costs, expressed in rent factors. And people, including Powell, have been saying that rents will eventually come down, we know that, etc., etc., so we also look at core services without housing. And both measures have been re-heating for months – with both their six-month moving averages approaching 6% annualized!

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Is the Soaring Cost of Living Stressing You Out? U.S. Households Are Spending an Extra $11,434 Per Year Just to Maintain the Same Standard of Living

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

I used to really enjoy going to the grocery store. I would relentlessly hunt for deals, and I would show off what I was able to find when I got home. But now all of the bargains are gone. Instead, there are ridiculous prices and there are even more ridiculous prices. The prices for some of the things that I normally buy have doubled. In other cases, the prices have almost doubled. Of course the soaring cost of living is the direct result of decisions that our leaders have made. They just kept borrowing, spending and flooding the system with money, and now the cost of living is wildly out of control.

According to CBS News, on average U.S. households must now spend an extra $11,434 per year just to maintain the same standard of living that they were enjoying when Joe Biden first entered the White House…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Inflation Update On Everyday Expenses: Travel Costs Tick Down, Over-the-Counter Meds Shoot Up

by Gabriella Cruz-Martinez
Yahoo! Finance

Americans plagued by surging prices over the past 20 months continue to face strain as the cost of meeting everyday necessities remains stubbornly high.

The Labor Department said Tuesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a broad measure of the price of everyday goods, including groceries, gasoline, and rent, rose 0.4% in February from the previous month. Consumer prices were 3.2% higher than a year earlier.

While that measure is under the 3.4% inflation reading in December, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

Declining prices for many goods are helping slow inflation, but basics such as housing, food, gasoline, and energy continued to come in hotter than expected.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Spikes 0.73 Percent

by Peter C. Earle
The American Institute for Economic Research

In February 2024, the AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.73 percent to 286.9. This rise was the largest percentage increase in the index since August 2023 and the eighth largest going back to January 2022 (26 months).

[…] In February 2024, the largest monthly price increases among EPI constituents were seen in motor fuel, postage and delivery services, and internet services. The largest declines occurred in intracity transportation, fees for lessons and instructions, and pet products. Among the twenty-four index constituents five fell in price, two were unchanged, and seventeen rose.

On March 12, 2024, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February 2024. The month-to-month headline CPI number rose 0.4 percent, meeting survey expectations. The core month-to-month CPI number increased by 0.4 percent, higher than the forecast of 0.3 percent.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

Kellogg’s CEO Criticized After Suggesting ‘Cereal for Dinner’

Kellogg’s CEO suggested that Americans eat cereal for dinner to save money

by Katie Smith
News Nation

(NewsNation) – Kellogg’s CEO Gary Pilnick is facing backlash after suggesting that cash-strapped households save money by eating cereal for dinner.

Pilnick, who oversees the company that produces Frosted Flakes, Froot Loops and Corn Flakes, floated the idea last week during an interview with CNBC. His comments come on the heels of federal data showing Americans are spending more on food than they have in 30 years.

“We’re advertising about cereal for dinner,” Pilnick said, noting that the price of a bowl of cereal with milk and fruit is less than $1. At the time, the messaging was “landing really well,” he added.

Continue Reading at NewsNationNow.com…

Consumer Prices Rise More Than Forecast as Inflation Pressures Persist

by Alexandra Canal
Yahoo! Finance

Inflation pressures remained persistent in February, as prices for shelter and gas rose, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Tuesday morning.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed prices rose 0.4% over the previous month and 3.2% over the prior year in February, more than forecast and an acceleration from January’s 0.3% monthly increase and 3.1% annual gain. This marked the largest monthly increase since September.

On a “core” basis, which strips out the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in February climbed 0.4% over the prior month and 3.8% over last year.

Both measures were higher than economist expectations of a 0.3% monthly increase and a 3.7% annual gain.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

Bitcoin Buying Advised as U.S. Enters the ‘Looting-the-Treasury Phase’

Amid rising national debt levels in the United States, influencers on X say Bitcoin is the only realistic solution to sidestep inflation.

by Martin Young
The CoinTelegraph

Two crypto influencers on X have called on their followers to snap up Bitcoin, gold and silver, citing the risk of rising national debt in the United States.

In an X post on March 11, entrepreneur and angel investor Balaji Srinivasan argued that Bitcoin is the only realistic solution to escape the inevitability of unsustainable government spending and potential asset confiscation.

“We’re in the looting-the-treasury phase of imperial collapse,” the former Coinbase chief technology officer told his 994,000 followers.

Continue Reading at CoinTelegraph.com…

Expect Another Surge in Food Prices Fueled by ‘Dynamic Pricing’

Restaurants are moving towards dynamic menu prices. Expect big surcharges for peak times. Don’t expect off peak prices to drop much. Labor costs are rising too.

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Surge Pricing Is Coming to You

Restaurants are experimenting with surge pricing to deal with peak hours and staffing demand. They like it. You probably won’t.

The Wall Street Journal reports Surge Pricing Is Coming to More Menus Near You

Restaurants like San Diego-based Cali BBQ are experimenting with a form of the dynamic pricing long used by airlines, hotels and ride-hailing services. Technology providers are pitching services that enable restaurants to change prices weekly or monthly, increasing or slashing the cost of a taco or sandwich between a few quarters to several dollars, depending on demand and sales patterns.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Goes From Niche to Normal as Young People Use it for Daily Essentials

What began for many as a way to pay for concert tickets and vacations is becoming an ordinary tool that Gen Z and millennial shoppers use for food, contact lenses and trash bags.

by J.J. McCorvey
NBC News

Buying now and paying later is still a popular way to splurge on airfare to Cabo. It’s an increasingly common way to buy groceries and lawn furniture, too.

Consumers ages 35 and under comprise 53% of “buy now, pay later” users but just 35% of traditional credit card holders, according to LexisNexis Risk Solutions. Many of those core “BNPL” borrowers have grown so comfortable using the installment loans for just-out-of-reach luxuries that they’re putting more everyday purchases on them as well.

Apparel and accessories were the most popular product category among millennial (ages 30-44) and Gen Z (18-29) users of the BNPL provider Afterpay in 2021 and 2022.

Continue Reading at NBCNews.com…

Key Events This Week: CPI, PPI and Retail Sales as Fed Enters Blackout Period

from Zero Hedge

With 10yr US yields around -10bps lower, and the S&P 500 around +2% higher than where they were just before last month’s higher-than-expected CPI, DB’s Jim Reid concludes that “it’s fair to say that markets have shrugged off this upside print alongside the high PPI and core PCE prints that followed.” The question now is whether this week we get to do it all over again, but before we preview the US CPI (tomorrow) and PPI (Thursday), the other main US highlights are the NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations survey (today), retail sales (Thursday) and UoM consumer sentiment (Friday). There are also 3-, 10- and 30-yr UST auctions today through Wednesday.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…