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Inflation Higher… (and Stocks Too?)

Inflation came in hotter than expected and … stocks rose sharply? Yes, that’s right. Meanwhile, digging through the financial plumbing reveals that everything Susanne Trimbath said is openly admitted to on Nasdaq’s own website publications.

by Dr. Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

Inflation came in hotter than expected and – guess what? – stocks screamed higher … which is the exact opposite of what “should” happen.

But we’ve long since given up on expecting what should happen to actually happen. Stocks have been screaming higher for months on the back of the Fed and US Treasury conspiring to make financial conditions as easy as they’ve been in years. Which runs counter to this whole idea that ‘the Fed is tightening’ that is 100% not true.

Here’s what you get during such periods of time:

My explanation for the extreme desperation on display by the Fed and US Treasury is that their interventions are having to be both larger and more frequent just to keep the whole thing stapled together. Their fear seems to be along the lines of “If we let this thing deflate even slightly, the whole mess might explode in our hands and on our watch.”

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

The White House Claims Borrowing $16 Trillion Over the Next Decade is Fiscally Responsible

If you can’t even get close to balancing the budget when unemployment is low, tax revenues are near record highs, and the economy is booming, when can you do it?

by Eric Boehm
Reason.com

The budget plan President Joe Biden unveiled on Monday would hike taxes, increase federal spending to unprecedented levels, and lock in budget deficits that average nearly $2 trillion annually for the next decade.

But possibly the craziest detail is the fact that the White House is trying to frame all of that as being an exercise in fiscal restraint.

No, really. In a “fact sheet” released alongside the budget, the White House touted how the proposal would cut the deficit by $3 trillion over the next 10 years. “Strong and shared growth that benefits all Americans isn’t just good for working families and the economy; it will also lead to better fiscal outcomes,” the administration claims, adding that Biden believes “long-term investments in our nation and its people should be paid for.”

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation, February: Inflation Saga Far From Over, Core CPI & Core Services in Ominous Six-Month Trend

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Core services CPI — 61% of total CPI and infamous for historic head fakes — is approaching 6% annualized six-month average.

The “core services” CPI (services minus energy services) is crucial. The majority of consumer spending goes to core services, and Powell keeps talking about it. Core services includes housing costs, expressed in rent factors. And people, including Powell, have been saying that rents will eventually come down, we know that, etc., etc., so we also look at core services without housing. And both measures have been re-heating for months – with both their six-month moving averages approaching 6% annualized!

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Is the Soaring Cost of Living Stressing You Out? U.S. Households Are Spending an Extra $11,434 Per Year Just to Maintain the Same Standard of Living

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

I used to really enjoy going to the grocery store. I would relentlessly hunt for deals, and I would show off what I was able to find when I got home. But now all of the bargains are gone. Instead, there are ridiculous prices and there are even more ridiculous prices. The prices for some of the things that I normally buy have doubled. In other cases, the prices have almost doubled. Of course the soaring cost of living is the direct result of decisions that our leaders have made. They just kept borrowing, spending and flooding the system with money, and now the cost of living is wildly out of control.

According to CBS News, on average U.S. households must now spend an extra $11,434 per year just to maintain the same standard of living that they were enjoying when Joe Biden first entered the White House…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Inflation Update On Everyday Expenses: Travel Costs Tick Down, Over-the-Counter Meds Shoot Up

by Gabriella Cruz-Martinez
Yahoo! Finance

Americans plagued by surging prices over the past 20 months continue to face strain as the cost of meeting everyday necessities remains stubbornly high.

The Labor Department said Tuesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a broad measure of the price of everyday goods, including groceries, gasoline, and rent, rose 0.4% in February from the previous month. Consumer prices were 3.2% higher than a year earlier.

While that measure is under the 3.4% inflation reading in December, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

Declining prices for many goods are helping slow inflation, but basics such as housing, food, gasoline, and energy continued to come in hotter than expected.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Spikes 0.73 Percent

by Peter C. Earle
The American Institute for Economic Research

In February 2024, the AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.73 percent to 286.9. This rise was the largest percentage increase in the index since August 2023 and the eighth largest going back to January 2022 (26 months).

[…] In February 2024, the largest monthly price increases among EPI constituents were seen in motor fuel, postage and delivery services, and internet services. The largest declines occurred in intracity transportation, fees for lessons and instructions, and pet products. Among the twenty-four index constituents five fell in price, two were unchanged, and seventeen rose.

On March 12, 2024, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February 2024. The month-to-month headline CPI number rose 0.4 percent, meeting survey expectations. The core month-to-month CPI number increased by 0.4 percent, higher than the forecast of 0.3 percent.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

Kellogg’s CEO Criticized After Suggesting ‘Cereal for Dinner’

Kellogg’s CEO suggested that Americans eat cereal for dinner to save money

by Katie Smith
News Nation

(NewsNation) – Kellogg’s CEO Gary Pilnick is facing backlash after suggesting that cash-strapped households save money by eating cereal for dinner.

Pilnick, who oversees the company that produces Frosted Flakes, Froot Loops and Corn Flakes, floated the idea last week during an interview with CNBC. His comments come on the heels of federal data showing Americans are spending more on food than they have in 30 years.

“We’re advertising about cereal for dinner,” Pilnick said, noting that the price of a bowl of cereal with milk and fruit is less than $1. At the time, the messaging was “landing really well,” he added.

Continue Reading at NewsNationNow.com…

Consumer Prices Rise More Than Forecast as Inflation Pressures Persist

by Alexandra Canal
Yahoo! Finance

Inflation pressures remained persistent in February, as prices for shelter and gas rose, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Tuesday morning.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed prices rose 0.4% over the previous month and 3.2% over the prior year in February, more than forecast and an acceleration from January’s 0.3% monthly increase and 3.1% annual gain. This marked the largest monthly increase since September.

On a “core” basis, which strips out the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in February climbed 0.4% over the prior month and 3.8% over last year.

Both measures were higher than economist expectations of a 0.3% monthly increase and a 3.7% annual gain.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

Bitcoin Buying Advised as U.S. Enters the ‘Looting-the-Treasury Phase’

Amid rising national debt levels in the United States, influencers on X say Bitcoin is the only realistic solution to sidestep inflation.

by Martin Young
The CoinTelegraph

Two crypto influencers on X have called on their followers to snap up Bitcoin, gold and silver, citing the risk of rising national debt in the United States.

In an X post on March 11, entrepreneur and angel investor Balaji Srinivasan argued that Bitcoin is the only realistic solution to escape the inevitability of unsustainable government spending and potential asset confiscation.

“We’re in the looting-the-treasury phase of imperial collapse,” the former Coinbase chief technology officer told his 994,000 followers.

Continue Reading at CoinTelegraph.com…

Expect Another Surge in Food Prices Fueled by ‘Dynamic Pricing’

Restaurants are moving towards dynamic menu prices. Expect big surcharges for peak times. Don’t expect off peak prices to drop much. Labor costs are rising too.

by Mike ‘Mish’ Shedlock
Mish Talk

Surge Pricing Is Coming to You

Restaurants are experimenting with surge pricing to deal with peak hours and staffing demand. They like it. You probably won’t.

The Wall Street Journal reports Surge Pricing Is Coming to More Menus Near You

Restaurants like San Diego-based Cali BBQ are experimenting with a form of the dynamic pricing long used by airlines, hotels and ride-hailing services. Technology providers are pitching services that enable restaurants to change prices weekly or monthly, increasing or slashing the cost of a taco or sandwich between a few quarters to several dollars, depending on demand and sales patterns.

Continue Reading at MishTalk.com…

‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Goes From Niche to Normal as Young People Use it for Daily Essentials

What began for many as a way to pay for concert tickets and vacations is becoming an ordinary tool that Gen Z and millennial shoppers use for food, contact lenses and trash bags.

by J.J. McCorvey
NBC News

Buying now and paying later is still a popular way to splurge on airfare to Cabo. It’s an increasingly common way to buy groceries and lawn furniture, too.

Consumers ages 35 and under comprise 53% of “buy now, pay later” users but just 35% of traditional credit card holders, according to LexisNexis Risk Solutions. Many of those core “BNPL” borrowers have grown so comfortable using the installment loans for just-out-of-reach luxuries that they’re putting more everyday purchases on them as well.

Apparel and accessories were the most popular product category among millennial (ages 30-44) and Gen Z (18-29) users of the BNPL provider Afterpay in 2021 and 2022.

Continue Reading at NBCNews.com…

Key Events This Week: CPI, PPI and Retail Sales as Fed Enters Blackout Period

from Zero Hedge

With 10yr US yields around -10bps lower, and the S&P 500 around +2% higher than where they were just before last month’s higher-than-expected CPI, DB’s Jim Reid concludes that “it’s fair to say that markets have shrugged off this upside print alongside the high PPI and core PCE prints that followed.” The question now is whether this week we get to do it all over again, but before we preview the US CPI (tomorrow) and PPI (Thursday), the other main US highlights are the NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations survey (today), retail sales (Thursday) and UoM consumer sentiment (Friday). There are also 3-, 10- and 30-yr UST auctions today through Wednesday.

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Not Again with the ‘Shrinkflation,’ Please

Shrinkflation is just inflation by another name, and two other facts to keep in mind during tonight’s State of the Union address.

by Eric Boehm
Reason.com

President Joe Biden will reportedly use tonight’s State of the Union address to once more rail against what the White House has taken to calling “shrinkflation”—the annoying corporate practice of shrinking the size of products rather than raising prices.

Politico reported this week that “recent drafts of Biden’s State of the Union address have included a reference to shrinkflation as part of a broader segment on administration efforts to pressure companies to lower costs across the board.” A White House spokesperson told the outlet that Biden “will continue to call out rip-offs such as shrinkflation, greedflation, and price gouging.”

You’ll note that, up there in the first sentence, I acknowledged that shrinkflation is annoying. It is, and polls show that consumers are indeed put off by the practice.

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

CNN Beclowns Itself by Confirming the Escalating Cost-of-Living Crisis While Trying to Pin it On Trump

by Jack Hellner
American Thinker

A recent article from Matt Egan at CNN admits that Americans have a problem paying for things… but neither he, nor any of the outlet’s other employees ever bring up Joe Biden or his policies as a significant cause of the problem; read here:

Americans’ cost of living remains a massive headache, even as recession fears fade

The long-rumored recession has been postponed – or perhaps canceled altogether.

The soft-landing vibes are real. Inflation is cooling. The economy is growing at a shockingly strong pace. And unemployment hasn’t been this low for this long since the late 1960s.

And yet, hidden behind these boomy-economic indicators, a frustrating reality persists: Life is far too expensive for far too many.

Continue Reading at AmericanThinker.com…

Eventual Financial Death Spiral Now Imminent – John Rubino

by Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

Analyst and financial writer John Rubino warned nearly four months ago of a “U.S. Financial Death Spiral.” This past week, Bank of America caught up to Rubino and issued a warning about a “US dollar death spiral” because the federal government was going deeper in the red by creating “$1 trillion in new debt every 100 days.” Maybe this is why gold and Bitcoin have been hitting new all-time highs day after day. Rubino says, “When a building was worth $200 million and someone sells it for $48 million, that means there is a loss that someone has to take. Those losses are mostly on the books of regional and local banks. So, they are in big trouble financially. . . . You will get these massive bank runs that the government will have to step in and bail out. This is one of many things that will happen in the not-so-distant future. This will impact government finances in a scary way that will send people’s attention to the currency. In other words, if we have another $3 trillion bailout on top of everything else that’s going on . . .what is that going to do to the dollar? . . . . Currencies are being inflated away with all these bailouts, deficits, wars and all these things that are going on that are bad for the currency. So, people start selling government bonds, which push up interest rates and blows up even more bad real estate and paper . . . until you get a debt spiral, a real live financial death spiral than cannot be fixed. . . . I was talking to a real estate guy the other day, and he said this is not just inevitable, it is imminent. It is happening now. It is happening quickly, and it is going to hit the headlines. . . . In this case, what is inevitable in commercial real estate is also looking imminent.”

Continue Reading at USAWatchdog.com…

Another Year, Another Crisis

by Peter C. Earle
The American Institute for Economic Research

The one-year anniversary of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is upon us. And while some of the factors behind that catastrophe have been tamped down, a new crop of problems have emerged to cast a shadow over the banking system and the health of the US economy. In the year since, only the sources of difficulty have changed.

In March of 2023, the size and rapidity of the Fed’s rate hikes had driven a handful of banks with highly concentrated deposit bases into duration gaps, triggering runs and ultimately failure and government seizure: Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, Heartland Tri-State Bank (a complicated situation), and Citizens Bank of Sac City Iowa. Within that same month, Silvergate Bank voluntarily liquidated, and Credit Suisse First Boston collapsed. The demise of the latter owed not to rapidly rising interest rates, but a litany of accumulated blows over the years ranging from scandals, bad strategic choices, and periodic trading losses.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…