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March Inflation Data Makes for Higher-Than-Expected Cola Adjustments in 2025

by Alvin Buyinza
Mass Live

Social Security beneficiaries should expect a higher cost-of-living adjustment next year after the government reported a rise in inflation in March, according to an advocacy group.

The Senior Citizens League, the nation’s largest nonpartisan senior advocacy group, has increased its prediction for the long-term cost-of-living adjustment – or COLA – for 2025 to 2.6%, up from 1.75% last month, according to a press brief from the organization.

The increase is due to the rise in the consumer price index, a measurement of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Continue Reading at MassLive.com…

AG Secretary Vilsack On Inflationary Pressure From ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ Spending: The Law’s ‘Paced’

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Friday’s broadcast of CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack responded to a question on if spending in the Inflation Reduction Act will create inflationary pressure by stating that “One of the things that I think is missed about the IRA is the fact that it’s paced. It’s not as if all this money is all of a sudden showing up in the economy.”

Co-host Becky Quick said, “[I]n the meantime, the investments from the IRA could very well push inflation higher, because it’s money that’s pouring into the economy to create jobs for some of these things along the way. But that does create some inflationary pressures.”

Vilsack responded, “One of the things that I think is missed about the IRA is the fact that it’s paced. It’s not as if all this money is all of a sudden showing up in the economy. It takes time to get a contract for road construction.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

U.S. Voters Warm to Joe Biden On Economy but Remain Concerned Over Inflation

FT-Michigan Ross poll finds president’s gains could be derailed by stubborn fears over high prices

by Lauren Fedor and Eva Xiao
FT

American voters are growing more supportive of Joe Biden’s handling of the US economy, but remain unsettled by persistent inflation, especially rising petrol prices, according to a new Financial Times poll.

The number of registered voters who approve of Biden’s handling of the economy jumped five percentage points in the past month to 41 per cent, according to the latest survey conducted for the FT and the University of Michigan Ross School of Business.

But the poll showed higher prices continue to weigh on voter sentiment, with nearly four in five voters citing inflation among their biggest sources of financial stress — and almost three-quarters saying food prices were having the “biggest impact” on their finances.

Continue Reading at FT.com…

This is Why the Price of Gasoline Could Soon Double…

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

Can you imagine paying seven dollars for a gallon of gasoline? It could soon happen, because it appears that Israel is about to strike Iran, and that is likely to cause events in the Middle East to spiral completely out of control. Right now, approximately one-fifth of all oil used in the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz. An apocalyptic war in the region could potentially close the Strait of Hormuz until the conflict is resolved one way or the other. In addition, oil infrastructure could be destroyed in Iran and other nations in the Middle East as the fighting rages, and that could substantially reduce global oil production for an extended period of time. Our way of life depends on cheap oil, and so if a major regional war in the Middle East causes the price of oil to go skyrocketing that is going to deeply affect all of us.

On Monday, the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States was just $3.63…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Blackrock’s Fink: Spending in ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ Will Make it Harder to Lower Inflation

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Friday’s broadcast of CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street,” BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stated that it will be difficult to reach 2% inflation and one reason is “We have a trillion dollars of fiscal stimulus in the CHIPS Act, the Infrastructure Act, and the IRA.”

Fink stated, “Even when everyone became enthusiastic, it never got to 2.”

Co-host Sara Eisen then asked, “And you don’t see it getting there –?”

Fink responded, “No.”

Eisen then asked, “For how long?”

Fink answered, “I think 2 is a hard number. We have restructured how we frame our economic policy. We have a trillion dollars of fiscal stimulus in the CHIPS Act, the Infrastructure Act, and the IRA. We have very poor legal immigration policies that have restricted, and that is all inflationary in jobs.”

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Inflation is Hot, a New High for Gold, & Iran’s Test Attack

What does the big collective smash in the metals on Friday (starting at 11:00 Eastern) mean? How about the fact that Bitcoin plunged $6000 as word of Iran’s attack hit the street…what does this mean? All this and more plus your very best weekly news summary on the web!

by Dave Fairtex
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

Iran’s response this weekend appeared relatively mild. Armstrong called it a “test attack.” What happens next? I’m told that in hand-to-hand combat, you “feint” (jab?) so you can discover what your opponent’s reaction will be. Perhaps when the Biden-Handlers are distracted by some other event, somewhere else in the world, the real attack will come. Another question: how bad is the (microclot-caused?) brainfog inside the IDF? Were they all force-vaxxed-and-boosted too, just like the US service members tragically were by Biden-Handler-Lloyd-Austin?

One interesting tidbit: Chris pointed out (here) that Blessed Bitcoin plunged $6000 as word of Iran’s attack hit the street. This confirms that Blessed Bitcoin is perceived by Big Money as a risk-on asset – something to be sold during times of uncertainty. Blessed Bitcoin then bounced back somewhat once “the street” figured out Iran’s response was more mild than anticipated. If you buy an asset, its probably good to know what sort of asset class it belongs in.

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

Say No to This: America’s Fiscal Norms Are in Decline

Despite their informal nature, those norms have historically constrained U.S. fiscal policy. But they’re eroding.

by Veronique de Rugy
Reason.com

Washington Post columnist Megan McArdle recently wrote that the best argument made in favor of limiting the size of the stimulus during the Great Recession—part of a larger conversation about austerity—was one of ethos. “We weren’t spending the money in theory,” she wrote, “or in 1945, when an ethos of fiscal responsibility prevailed. We were spending it in the 21st century, when that ethos had collapsed, so there was a considerable chance that when the good times finally rolled around, no politician would willingly undertake the sacrifices necessary to get the budget back in shape.”

She got me thinking about America’s fiscal norms.

It’s fair to say that the ethos of sound fiscal and monetary policy started with none other than Alexander Hamilton. In his January 1790 Report on Public Credit, Hamilton advocated for fully funded permanent public debt. This report laid the groundwork for a financial system supported by securely backed debt together with commodity money. Later that year, Hamilton proposed the establishment of the Bank of the United States. Though not a central bank by today’s standards, he thought it crucial for securing federal credit and a stable currency. Hamilton recognized the interconnectedness of fiscal and monetary policies.

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

The ‘Supercore’ Inflation Measure Shows Fed May Have a Real Problem On Its Hands

Markets are buzzing about an even more specific prices gauge contained within the data — the so-called supercore inflation reading.

by Brian Evans
CNBC.com

A hotter-than-expected consumer price index report rattled Wall Street Wednesday, but markets are buzzing about an even more specific prices gauge contained within the data — the so-called supercore inflation reading.

Along with the overall inflation measure, economists also look at the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, to find the true trend. The supercore gauge, which also excludes shelter and rent costs from its services reading, takes it even a step further. Fed officials say it is useful in the current climate as they see elevated housing inflation as a temporary problem and not as good a measure of underlying prices.

Supercore accelerated to a 4.8% pace year over year in March, the highest in 11 months.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls Slightly as Outlook for Inflation Worsens

Consumer sentiment about the U.S. economy has ticked down but remains near a recent high, with Americans’ outlook largely unchanged this year

by Christopher Rugaber
ABC News

WASHINGTON — Consumer sentiment about the U.S. economy has ticked down but remains near a recent high, with Americans’ outlook largely unchanged this year.

The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, released Friday in a preliminary version, slipped to 77.9 this month, down from March’s figure of 79.4. Sentiment is about halfway between its all-time low, reached in June 2022 when inflation peaked, and its pre-pandemic averages. The survey has been conducted since 1980.

“Consumers are reserving judgment about the economy in light of the upcoming election, which, in the view of many consumers, could have a substantial impact on the trajectory of the economy,” said Joanne Hsu, director of the consumer survey.

Continue Reading at ABCNews.Go.com…

Central Banks Grapple with Inflation Threat Amid Oil Price Rally

The latest U.S. consumer price index revealed an increase of 3.5% for March on an annual basis.

by Irina Slav
Oil Price

When the price of oil rises, the price of everything else rises. It’s a near-universal rule owing to the fact that virtually all goods and services involve the use of oil at some stage of the supply chain that brings them from producer to consumer.

The most unwelcome consequence of this rule is that when economies are in an already precarious situation, inflation-wise, higher oil prices are the last thing they need. And yet higher oil prices are exactly what the troubled U.S. and European economies are currently getting. And it might get worse.

The latest U.S. consumer price index revealed an increase of 3.5% for March on an annual basis. The number was higher than expected and immediately put an end to talk from Fed officials that the coming months could see the start of rate cuts after an extended series of hikes aimed at reining in the latest bout of worrying inflation that followed the pandemic and the start of the war in Ukraine—which happened to be marked by a surge in oil prices.

Continue Reading at OilPrice.com…