by John Carney
Breitbart.com
Economic Indicators Predict a Big Trump Win
The establishment media’s coverage of Donald Trump’s rally in Madison Square Garden makes it clear that the Democrats’ closing case will center on stirring fear and loathing for Republicans. Yet the upcoming election will likely turn on the issue Americans have repeatedly called most pressing: the economy.
Economist Robert J. Gordon’s recent study—”How Do Electoral Votes, Presidential Approval, and Consumer Sentiment Respond to Economic Indicators?”—offers a data-driven forecast for the Biden-Harris administration’s reelection chances, and the numbers don’t look promising for the Democrats. Gordon, an expert in growth and long-term productivity, uses two key indicators—growth per capita and “excess inflation”—to measure electoral sentiment based on real economic impacts rather than the distractions of the day. His findings? The GOP holds a significant advantage as November approaches.