from Rebel Capitalist
The Dirty Truth About Inflation
by Brian Maher
Daily Reckoning
The sitting administration — the Biden administration — sobs about inflation.
It claims it labors… heart and soul… to reduce that inflation.
Yet we believe these tears are the crocodile’s tears. That is, these tears are not authentic.
We believe the administration is not heart and soul to reduce inflation.
The administration is rather heart and soul for inflation. Not hyperinflation, mind you — hyperinflation carries severe political risk.
But it is out for inflation. It simply does not want you to know it.
Fed Governor Waller Wants ‘Several Months’ of Good Inflation Data Before Lowering Rates
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary.
by Jeff Cox
CNBC.com
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary.
However, the policymaker added he will need some convincing before he backs cuts anytime soon.
“Central bankers should never say never, but the data suggests that inflation isn’t accelerating, and I believe that further increases in the policy rate are probably unnecessary,” said Waller, who has recently been hawkish, meaning he supports tighter monetary policy.
The comments came in prepared remarks for an appearance before the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.
Biden’s Latest Push to Take Control of the Inflation Narrative
by Emily Peck
Axios
The Biden administration released a memo to its allies outlining its actions to combat rising costs — and blaming Republicans for blocking its efforts.
Why it matters: It’s an attempt to tell Americans that the White House is focused on bringing prices down at a time when voters are unhappy with the economy, and hold the president responsible for inflation.
“President Biden’s top economic priorities are fighting inflation and lowering costs for the American people,” writes White House deputy press secretary Andrew Bates. “Standing up to corporate price gouging is at the core of that fight.”
Catch up fast: The latest inflation figures show that prices rose 3.4% over the last year — much lower than the scorching levels seen in 2022 but still too high for comfort.
Look at What is Happening with Silver and Canadian Juniors as Another Inflation Wave is About to Hit
from King World News
Look at what is happening with silver and Canadian junior exploration companies as another inflation wave is about to hit.
May 21 (King World News) – Graddhy out of Sweden: Been saying lately that Silver will break out soon. It then broke out above blue line. And it is now above black line $30 level.
[…] With these breakouts, silver has now resumed its secular bull market.
Historical chart. Generational opportunity, and threat.
So it begins.
The Fed is Already Insolvent. Here’s How We Think This Plays Out.
by James Hickman
Schiff Sovereign
On Tuesday, September 15, 1992, the two most powerful financial officials in the British government held an urgent meeting that night to review their plan for when the markets opened the next morning.
The tone of the meeting must have felt frantic… even desperate… because the value of the British pound had been falling for weeks.
Investors and speculators were rapidly losing confidence in the UK government, mostly due to the ridiculous “Exchange Rate Mechanism” (ERM) which essentially pegged most European currencies to the German Deutschemark.
Rational investors viewed the ERM as an almost comical impossibility.
Trump’s Proposed Tariffs Would Cost Families $1,700 Annually
“The scale of trade barriers proposed by candidate Trump is unprecedented.”
by Eric Boehm
Reason.com
A set of new tariffs proposed by former President Donald Trump would cost the average American family an estimated $1,700 annually—and lower-income households would be hit relatively harder, a new analysis warns.
Trump has called for a 10 percent across-the-board tariff on all imports combined with higher tariffs (potentially as high as 60 percent, he’s claimed) aimed specifically at imports from China. Together, those two policies would cost Americans about $500 billion per year, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), a trade-focused think tank.
“The scale of trade barriers proposed by candidate Trump is unprecedented,” write PIIE senior fellows Kimberly Clausing and Mary E. Lovely. Thanks to the past several years of higher tariffs under both Trump and President Joe Biden, there is ample empirical evidence about the impact of tariffs, they add.
Target Struggles as Inflation Squeezes Shoppers’ Wallets
by John Carney
Breitbart.com
Target missed its mark in the first quarter of this year.
The company is feeling the pinch as high prices on essentials keep consumers’ wallets tight. The Minneapolis-based retailer reported another tough quarter, with revenue and profits falling short of expectations.
Target’s comparable sales, which include stores and digital channels open for at least a year, dropped 3.7 percent in the three months ending May 4, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of decline. Revenue fell 3.1 percent to $24.53 billion, just above Wall Street’s forecast of $24.52 billion. Net income was $942 million, or $2.03 per share, slightly missing analysts’ projections by three cents, according to the Wall Street Journal.
The Growing Threat of Inflation On Middle-Class Americans with Ted Thatcher
from Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network
Kerry and Ted Thatcher discussed the concept of “sticky” inflation and its impact on Fed policy. They analyzed the transition from transitory to sticky inflation and the evolving methodologies for calculating inflation. The conversation also touched on the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates, the widening gap between Wall Street and Main Street, and the potential challenges for the average American if inflation continues to rise while job growth slows. They also explored the likelihood of a market “melt up” and the potential consequences for the banking sector. Overall, the meeting provided a nuanced exploration of the complex economic landscape.
Click Here to Listen to the Audio
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McDonald’s $5 Value Meal in Trouble
Fast-food businesses are trying to battle inflation and other hurdles.
by Douglas A. McIntyre
24/7 Wall Street
Faced with a customer base that believes inflation has made its food too expensive, McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE: MCD) has announced a $5 value meal to offset the perception. The $5 menu includes a McChicken or McDouble, four-piece chicken nuggets, fries, and a drink. Just as the program launched, McDonald’s franchisees said it was too expensive for them to support it, which puts the program in jeopardy.
[…] A large group of franchisees represented by the National Owners Association wrote in a letter to its membership, “The fact remains that in order to provide the consumer with more affordable options, they must be affordable for the owner/operators. McDonald’s vast resources and financial investment are essential to any sustainable affordable strategy.” In other words, these owners say that they do not want to make McDonald’s more successful using their bank accounts.
High Inflation Made Finances Worse For 65% of Americans Last Year
by Alicia Wallace
CNN
Inflation may have slowed last year, but it continued to deal heavy blows — some devastating — on Americans’ livelihoods: Nearly two-thirds of US adults were worse off because of it, and roughly 1 in 6 couldn’t pay all their monthly bills, new Federal Reserve data shows.
The Fed on Tuesday released its Economic Well-Being of US Households report for 2023, examining the financial lives of US adults and their families. The report found that 72% of adults surveyed said they were “doing okay” financially. That’s a tick lower than last year but well below the high of 78% hit in 2021 (and still above the record low of 62% in 2013).
Inflation made the financial lives “worse” for 65% of US households, according to the report. Among those, 19% said it was “much worse.”
Inflation Has Left Me Unsure: What’s Overpriced and What’s Just ‘Normal’?
I’ve come to assume whatever I buy will fall into the nebulous “more expensive than I expected” range.
by Jim Geraghty
Washington Post
My sense of what things ought to cost is stuck in pre-pandemic 2019 or so. I suspect I’m far from alone. This means every time I make our family’s midweek run to Trader Joe’s — breaking news, two teenagers eat a lot — the bag of groceries isn’t just going to cost more than I want it to. There’s a good chance it’s also going to cost a few bucks more than I remember it being last time.
Or will it? Given the nation’s inflation bender over the past few years, I’ve come to assume the prices for just about everything are going to be some nebulous “more expensive than I expected” range. Which means I no longer have a good sense of what’s a new post-high-inflation normal cost and what’s genuinely overpriced.