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Fed’s Powell: Elevated Inflation Will Likely Delay Rate Cuts this Year

by Breitbart News
Breitbart.com

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautioned Tuesday that persistently elevated inflation will likely delay any Fed interest rate cuts until later this year, opening the door to a period of higher-for-longer rates.

“Recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence” that inflation is coming fully under control and “instead indicate that it’s likely to take longer than expected to achieve that confidence,” Powell said during a panel discussion at the Wilson Center.

“If higher inflation does persist,” he said, “we can maintain the current level of (interest rates) for as long as needed.”

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Inflation We Can Feel But Don’t Measure

by Joshua R. Hendrickson
The American Institute for Economic Research

In the aftermath of the pandemic, the United States experienced the highest rates of inflation of the last four decades. More recently, inflation rates have been trending lower. Nonetheless, a number of economists have been surprised to observe that consumers aren’t very happy despite signs that the inflation rate is on a trajectory towards the Federal Reserve’s target of two percent. Although a number of economists have been quick to dismiss consumer pessimism or explain that things are actually quite good, a recent paper by economists at Harvard and the IMF offers an explanation for pessimism: perhaps consumer measures of the cost of living differ from the price indices that economists use to measure inflation.

A price index is just a weighted average of prices. People often reference the price index as capturing “the cost of living.” This is indeed the purpose of constructing a price index.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

Rising Inflation in March Didn’t Deter Consumers, as Retail Sales Jumped 0.7%. Much Higher Than Expected.

by Jeff Cox
CNBC.com

Rising inflation in March didn’t deter consumers, who continued shopping at a more rapid pace than anticipated, the Commerce Department reported Monday.

Retail sales increased 0.7% for the month, considerably faster than the Dow Jones consensus forecast for a 0.3% rise though below the upwardly revised 0.9% in February, according to Census Bureau data that is adjusted for seasonality but not for inflation.

The consumer price index increased 0.4% in March, the Labor Department reported last week in data that also was higher than the Wall Street outlook. That means consumers more than kept up with the pace of inflation, which ran at a 3.5% annual rate for the month, below the 4% retail sales increase.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

This is the Weapon That is Being Used to Destroy America’s Middle Class

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

The middle class in the United States has been steadily shrinking, and the gap between the ultra-wealthy and the rest of us has grown to absurd proportions. But it wasn’t always this way. When I was growing up in the 1980s, it seemed like almost everyone was middle class. Of course there were wealthy people and poor people in the 1980s too, but the vast majority of the population was comfortably somewhere in the middle. Sadly, things have changed so much since that time. Today, most of the people that I know are struggling. According to a report that was just released, in all 50 states it now takes an income of more than $100,000 in order for a family of four to live “the American Dream”…

A new report from GOBankingRates used that framework to analyze how much money a family of two adults and two children would need in each state to own a home, a car and a pet. The report tallied estimated annual essential expenses for such a family and then doubled that figure.

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

Inflation Remains Raised Largely Due to High Gas and Rents

by Christopher Rugaber
PBS

WASHINGTON (AP) — Consumer inflation remained persistently high last month, boosted by gas, rents, auto insurance and other items, the government said Wednesday in a report that will likely give pause to the Federal Reserve as it weighs when and by how much to cut interest rates this year.

Prices outside the volatile food and energy categories rose 0.4 percent from February to March, the same accelerated pace as in the previous month. Measured from a year earlier, these core prices were up 3.8 percent, unchanged from the year-over-year rise in February. The Fed closely tracks core prices because they tend to provide a good read of where inflation is headed.

The March figures, the third straight month of inflation readings well above the Fed’s target, provide concerning evidence that inflation is stuck at an elevated level after having steadily dropped in the second half of 2023.

Continue Reading at PBS.org…

Three Investments to Consider with Inflation Rising

by Joshua Rodriguez
CBS News

As inflation continues to tick up in spite of a higher interest rates, it may be time to take a second look at your investments. Stocks tumbled Wednesday as updated inflation data dimmed the chances for rate cuts in 2024, demonstrating how rising inflation can threaten your investment assets.

But the truth is, inflation can threaten any savings you have. That is, unless you make moves to protect it.

The current inflation rate is 3.5% and not only will that make borrowing more expensive but it could affect the returns you get with your traditional investments. But, how do you protect your investment portfolio from rising inflation? One way to do so is by investing in assets that generally perform well during inflationary periods.

Continue Reading at CSBNews.com…

March Inflation Data Makes for Higher-Than-Expected Cola Adjustments in 2025

by Alvin Buyinza
Mass Live

Social Security beneficiaries should expect a higher cost-of-living adjustment next year after the government reported a rise in inflation in March, according to an advocacy group.

The Senior Citizens League, the nation’s largest nonpartisan senior advocacy group, has increased its prediction for the long-term cost-of-living adjustment – or COLA – for 2025 to 2.6%, up from 1.75% last month, according to a press brief from the organization.

The increase is due to the rise in the consumer price index, a measurement of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Continue Reading at MassLive.com…

AG Secretary Vilsack On Inflationary Pressure From ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ Spending: The Law’s ‘Paced’

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Friday’s broadcast of CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack responded to a question on if spending in the Inflation Reduction Act will create inflationary pressure by stating that “One of the things that I think is missed about the IRA is the fact that it’s paced. It’s not as if all this money is all of a sudden showing up in the economy.”

Co-host Becky Quick said, “[I]n the meantime, the investments from the IRA could very well push inflation higher, because it’s money that’s pouring into the economy to create jobs for some of these things along the way. But that does create some inflationary pressures.”

Vilsack responded, “One of the things that I think is missed about the IRA is the fact that it’s paced. It’s not as if all this money is all of a sudden showing up in the economy. It takes time to get a contract for road construction.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

U.S. Voters Warm to Joe Biden On Economy but Remain Concerned Over Inflation

FT-Michigan Ross poll finds president’s gains could be derailed by stubborn fears over high prices

by Lauren Fedor and Eva Xiao
FT

American voters are growing more supportive of Joe Biden’s handling of the US economy, but remain unsettled by persistent inflation, especially rising petrol prices, according to a new Financial Times poll.

The number of registered voters who approve of Biden’s handling of the economy jumped five percentage points in the past month to 41 per cent, according to the latest survey conducted for the FT and the University of Michigan Ross School of Business.

But the poll showed higher prices continue to weigh on voter sentiment, with nearly four in five voters citing inflation among their biggest sources of financial stress — and almost three-quarters saying food prices were having the “biggest impact” on their finances.

Continue Reading at FT.com…

This is Why the Price of Gasoline Could Soon Double…

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

Can you imagine paying seven dollars for a gallon of gasoline? It could soon happen, because it appears that Israel is about to strike Iran, and that is likely to cause events in the Middle East to spiral completely out of control. Right now, approximately one-fifth of all oil used in the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz. An apocalyptic war in the region could potentially close the Strait of Hormuz until the conflict is resolved one way or the other. In addition, oil infrastructure could be destroyed in Iran and other nations in the Middle East as the fighting rages, and that could substantially reduce global oil production for an extended period of time. Our way of life depends on cheap oil, and so if a major regional war in the Middle East causes the price of oil to go skyrocketing that is going to deeply affect all of us.

On Monday, the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States was just $3.63…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…