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Consumer Prices Decline in June

by Alexander William Salter
The American Institute for Economic Research

The Federal Reserve is trying to engineer a gradual disinflation. It is getting outright deflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased 0.1 percent in June. Consumer prices have grown 3.0 percent over the last year, which is the lowest 12-month rate since March 2021.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.1 percent. Year-over-year core inflation was 3.3 percent, the lowest since April 2021.

[…] Headline price decreases, driven by monetary tightening, are not necessary to get us back to the Fed’s target 2 percent growth path, but they do facilitate a quicker return. We may have reached a definitive point in policymakers’ (self-imposed) struggle against excessive dollar depreciation.

Continue Reading at AIER.org…

What is Happening with Gold and the U.S. Dollar is Absolutely Stunning

from King World News

On the heels of the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, what is happening with gold and the US dollar is absolutely stunning.

July 14 (King World News) – Matthew Piepenburg, partner at VON GREYERZ AG: Between politics (driven by self rather than public servants), markets (driven by debt rather than profits) and currencies (diluted by over-creation rather than chaperoned by a real asset), it is fair to say we live in not interesting but surreal times.

But amidst the surreal, the dollar, as many believe, is our rock, our immortal albeit often unloved constant.

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

Three Real Assets Primed for Growth in the Coming Inflation Bonanza

by James Hickman
Schiff Sovereign

Today’s inflation report showing ‘only’ 3% inflation, the Federal Reserve is all but guaranteed to start slashing interest rates.

The Fed Chairman essentially promised as much to Congress earlier this week, and has warned that if they don’t start cutting interest rates soon, “we could undermine the [economic] recovery.”

These guys still don’t get it. At this point it’s not even about 3% inflation (which is still too high) or 2% inflation. It’s about prices going back down to pre-pandemic levels… or just lower in general.

But that’s just never going to happen. The Fed doesn’t care about price reductions; they’re happy with a slower rate of price increases… which is totally out of touch with what people want and need.

Continue Reading at SchiffSovereign.com…

Consumers Finally Get Some Relief From Inflation as Prices Decline for First Month Since 2020

by John Carney
Breitbart.com

Consumers got the first break from inflation since the height of the pandemic in 2020.

In a surprising turn of events, the cost of consumer goods and services dropped in June, the Department of Labor said Thursday.

This significant decline signals a recent slowdown in inflation, raising hopes that the Federal Reserve might slash high U.S. interest rates in the coming months.

The consumer price index (CPI) dipped by 0.1 percent in June following a flat performance in May. This marks the first decrease since May 2020, when the pandemic’s grip forced the economy into an unprecedented shutdown.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Here’s the Inflation Breakdown for June 2024 – In One Chart

The consumer price index rose 3% in June 2024 from a year earlier, a decline from 3.3% in May, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

by Greg Iacurci
CNBC.com

Inflation fell further in June as lower gasoline prices combined with other easing price pressures to bring relief for consumers’ wallets.

The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 3% in June from a year ago, down from 3.3% in May, the U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday.

The CPI gauges how fast prices are changing across the U.S. economy. It measures everything from fruits and vegetables to haircuts, concert tickets and household appliances.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation: Historic Plunge in Durable Goods Prices, Plunge in Gasoline, and Outliers in Services

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Core Services CPI produced 2nd outlier. In the past, after two outliers in this very volatile data, the next move was a U-turn.

The Consumer Price Index for June, on a month-to-month basis, was pushed down by plunging gasoline prices, the continued historic plunge in prices of durable goods, led by used vehicles, nearly-flat food-at-home prices, and “core services” prices that rose at the smallest pace since the summer of 2021 in what looks like an outlier move of which we have seen already many in both directions.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Treasuries Rally as Cool Inflation Boosts Bets On Three Fed Cuts

by Liz Capo McCormick and Ye Xie
Yahoo! Finance

(Bloomberg) — Treasury yields tumbled after benign inflation data renewed confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year.

Most rates slid to their lowest since March, with those on two-year debt — more sensitive than longer maturities to changes in the Fed’s policy outlook — sinking as much as 13 basis points to 4.486%. Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. responded by pulling forward their forecast for the start of Fed easing to September from November, and traders fully priced in a September cut for the first time in months.

The odds of a September rate cut jumped from around 70% before the data. For all of 2024, the contracts imply 60 basis points easing — at least two quarter-point moves — from about 49 basis points earlier.

“The data makes a September cut a slam dunk now,” said Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at NatAlliance Securities LLC. “You are going to get three cuts this year — September, November and December — and the market is starting to price that.”

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

Wheel of (Shrinking) Fortune: How Game-Show Prizes Have Lagged Behind Inflation

by Kelly Lawler
USA Today

These days it’s more like who wants to be a multimillionaire, am I right?

Times have changed ever since game shows and reality competition series like “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire” and “Survivor” started doling out $1 million prizes to winners more than two decades ago. But the series still offer the same seven-figure prize, even though a million bucks just ain’t what it used to be.

Inflation and massive cost-of-living increases in the United States have been dramatic, and these series simply haven’t kept up. So that million-dollar question that Regis Philbin asked contestants back in 1999 paid a lot more than the one Jimmy Kimmel asks celebrities in the latest prime-time incarnation of “Millionaire” this summer (Wednesdays, 8 EDT/PDT).

Continue Reading at USAToday.com…

Voters Trust GOP More to Deal With America’s ‘Very Serious’ Inflation Problem

by John Carney
Breitbart.com

Republicans are far more trusted than Democrats to handle America’s inflation problem, polling from Rasmussen Reports indicates.

Fifty-three percent of likely voters trust Republicans more to handle inflation, according to a survey of 1,17 U.S. likely voters conducted on June 30-July 2, 2024 showed.

Just 37 percent of likely voters say Democrats are better on the issue, giving Republicans a 16-point advantage on inflation.

This is likely to influence the upcoming U.S. elections. Eighty-four percent believe the issue of inflation will be important in this year’s presidential election. Sixty-one percent say it is likely to be very important.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Gen Z Consumers in the U.S. Rely On Parents as Inflation Squeezes Budgets, Study Shows

by Makailah Gause
Yahoo! Finance

(Reuters) – Gen Z adults in the U.S. face increasing financial challenges because of inflation and rising living costs, with 46% relying on financial assistance from their parents and families, according to a report by Bank of America published on Wednesday.

Half of the 1,091 people aged 18 to 27 surveyed by the bank were not on track to buy a home in the next five years. Respondents were polled in April and May, with the survey weighted to meet national population benchmarks, including gender and race.

The survey showed 46% of young people were unprepared to save for retirement and 40% were not ready to start investing in the next five years.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…