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California’s Minimum Wage Law Has Led Some Employers to Cut Hours and Hike Prices

“I’ve been in the business for 25 years…I never had to increase the amount of pricing that I did this past time in April,” one business owner told the A.P.

by Emma Camp
Reason.com

Last September, California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) signed a bill mandating a $20 minimum wage for fast food workers. The new wage is among the highest in the county, surpassing even Washington, D.C.’s $17.50 minimum wage. While supporters touted the wage increase as a way to help struggling Californians, detractors warned that restaurant owners would respond by laying off workers, cutting their hours, or speeding up the already starting shift to automation.

The law went into effect in April, meaning that it’s likely too early to tell what the ultimate effects of the law will be. However, a recent report from the Associated Press detailed concerns from several California fast food restaurant owners who say they’ve been forced to reduce hours and hike food prices.

Continue Reading at Reason.com…

Markets Waiting On CPI

by Ira Epstein
GoldSeek

When you look at the gold market, again the market has been sitting in very much sideways action. This is a weekly chart of just closes and you can see how the market’s done that when we look at a daily borrow chart, pointed out that you would come up before to this resistance point.

And if you come back with me here, you can see how the market just came down and held itself, bouncing back and forth. The bias of the market is going to be up and the trend is up. Why? Well, the trend is on the swing line, higher lows, and higher highs. I already know it’s holding the 18-day average of closes. I mentioned that the battleground’s probably around the $2347 level and it is on the upside, it’ll be the upper Bollinger Band around the $2389 level in terms of momentum, you have worked off in overbought condition. So the market’s getting itself ready for CPI, and PPI events.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Could the Price of Gold Really Hit $48,000? Plus Expect Hairy 1970s-Style Inflation

from King World News

Could the price of gold really hit $48,000? Plus expect more hairy 1970s-style inflation.

Fed Warns They Will Continue To Shrink Balance Sheet

July 10 (King World News) – Peter Boockvar: Early on today and unlike yesterday, Jay Powell was asked about the Fed’s balance sheet and he said they have a “good ways to go” in shrinking it “and going slower will allow us to go further.” The balance sheet currently stands at about $7.2 trillion, down from almost $9 trillion but still up from around $4 trillion before Covid.

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

An Inflation Election Will Favor Republicans

by John Carney
Breitbart.com

It’s Still the Economy, Stupid

The latest polling indicates that Republicans are well-positioned to take advantage of voter unhappiness about inflation and the U.S. economy—and that these issues may be decisive in November.

But Republicans should not get complacent. Democrats are actually gaining a bit.

According to our friends at Rasmussen Reports, 91 percent of likely voters say economic issues will be important in this year’s presidential election. Sixty-eight percent say the economy will be very important.

Republicans are heavily favored by those who say the economy will be very important. Fifty-nine percent of likely voters who see the economy as very important in this year’s election say they trust the Republicans more, versus 32 percent who say they trust the Democrats.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

High Inflation is No Longer Only Risk for U.S. Economy: Fed Chair Powell

by Courtenay Brown
Axios

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell told lawmakers on Tuesday that a weakening labor market is just as much a risk to the economy as high inflation.

Why it matters: In recent months, Fed officials have said they want to see more economic data that confirms inflation is receding before lowering interest rates. But Powell acknowledges that waiting too long to do so could unnecessarily harm the economy and job market.

What they’re saying: “[I]n light of the progress made both in lowering inflation and in cooling the labor market over the past two years, elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” Powell told the Senate Banking Committee hearing.

Continue Reading at Axios.com…

Inflation Lessons Unlearned

A new White House proposal won’t help lower Americans’ grocery bills.

by Allison Schrager
City Journal

When I was a graduate student in economics and learned about the inflation of the 1970s, I marveled at how poorly policymakers understood the problem. The price controls they enacted that decade failed miserably, leading to shortages and other market disruptions. I assumed, as a result, that we’d never hear the words “price gouging” again.

I was wrong. Last week, President Joe Biden released a plan to bring down food prices that repeats these past mistakes. The president proposes “calling on” grocery chains to lower prices, partnering with state attorneys general to “take on price gouging,” and boosting food benefits to low-income people by $2,000 annually.

It’s all bad economics. Our recent bout of inflation was caused initially by a combination of pandemic-driven supply constraints and elevated demand from federal transfer payments—not corporate greed or price gouging.

Continue Reading at City-Journal.org…

Gold Rangebound with Spotlight On U.S. Inflation Reading

by Reuters
CNBC.com

Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve’s interest rates trajectory.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,367.79 per ounce by 0229 GMT. U.S. gold futures climbed 0.3% to $2,374.10.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his testimony to the Senate said inflation had been improving in recent months and that “more good data would strengthen” the case for looser monetary policy. Powell will next speak before the House later in the day.

“With the recent run of weaker U.S. data, the case has been built around a September rate cut, but with the Fed Chair still wanting to see more good data, further inflation progress will be needed to offer more confidence for policymakers to open the door to rate cuts,” said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

Fed’s Powell Highlights Slowing Job Market in Signal That Rate Cuts May Be Nearing

The Federal Reserve faces a cooling job market as well as persistently high prices, Chair Jerome Powell said in testimony to Congress, a shift in emphasis away from the Fed’s single-minded fight against inflation that suggests it’s moving closer to cut…

by Christopher Rugaber
ABC News

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve faces a cooling job market as well as persistently high prices, Chair Jerome Powell said in testimony Tuesday to Congress, a shift in emphasis away from the Fed’s single-minded fight against inflation of the past two years that suggests it is moving closer to cutting interest rates.

The Fed has made “considerable progress” toward its goal of defeating the worst inflation spike in four decades, Powell told the Senate Banking Committee.

“Inflation has eased notably” in the past two years, he added, though it still remains above the central bank’s 2% target.

Powell pointedly noted that “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face.” Cutting interest rates “too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment,” he said.

Continue Reading at ABCNews.Go.com…

Gold Ticks Higher with Focus On U.S. Inflation Data

by Brijesh Patel
Reuters.com

July 9 (Reuters) – Gold prices eked out gains on Tuesday despite a stronger dollar and higher bond yields, as investors looked forward to the U.S. June inflation data due later this week for more clarity on the U.S. interest rate path.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,363.64 per ounce as of 14:35 p.m. ET (1835 GMT), after dropping more than 1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures settled about 0.2% higher to $2,367.90.

The dollar was up about 0.2% against its rivals, making gold more expensive for other currency holders, while benchmark 10-year Treasury yields inched higher.

There’s an expectation that the Federal Reserve is more likely to start cutting rates as early as September, which is contributing positively to current market conditions, said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities.

Continue Reading at Reuters.com…

Why Commodities Like Silver, Oil and Gold Are Soaring Amid Inflation

by Frank Holmes
Forbes

If you were in charge of the Fourth of July spread last week, you probably noticed a hike in prices. According to the American Farm Bureau Federation, the cost of a typical Independence Day spread for 10 people jumped to $71.22 this year, up 5% from last year and a whopping 30% from five years ago.

That may not seem like much, but this inflation has a compounding effect on commodities. Research from Goldman Sachs shows that a 1 percentage point increase in U.S. inflation has historically led to a real return gain of 7 percentage points for commodities. Meanwhile, the same trigger caused stocks and bonds to decline by 3 and 4 percentage points, respectively.

This data supports the potential of commodities as an inflation hedge.

Continue Reading at Forbes.com…