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Businesses Report Inflation is Taking Wrench to Their Cash-Strapped Customers

by Ireland Owens
DailyCaller.com

Dollar stores are reporting softened demand and increased financial stress among their lower-income consumers, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Some businesses say their customers are spending less money toward the end of the month and more focused on purchasing from cheap store brands, according to the WSJ. Dollar General said in a December earnings call that its best-performing category in its last quarter was its “value valley” aisle, which offers $1 products, the WSJ reported.

Dollar stores are also saying that consumers put off shopping for special occasions like Halloween until the last minute, according to the WSJ. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said at a conference on Dec. 3 that the “inflationary cycle has been really detrimental” for lower-income families, the WSJ reported.

Continue Reading at DailyCaller.com…

What to Expect From Friday’s Report On Inflation

Inflation as measured by Personal Consumption Expenditures likely accelerated in November, mirroring the trend of a different inflation measure, the Consumer Price Index, released earlier in the month.

by Diccon Hyatt
Investopedia

Not long ago, the Federal Reserve’s favorite measure of inflation looked tantalizingly close to the central bank’s goal of a 2% annual rate. But in November, it likely headed in the wrong direction.

A report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis due Friday is likely to show that the cost of living, as measured by Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), rose 2.5% over the year in November, up from a 2.3% annual increase in October, according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

The trend would mirror the uptick in inflation seen in a different measure, the Consumer Price Index, released earlier this month. Officials at the Federal Reserve pay closer attention to PCE when setting the nation’s monetary policy. So Friday’s report could have a bigger impact on the trajectory of the central bank’s key interest rate and, hence, borrowing costs on all kinds of loans down the road.

Continue Reading at Investopedia.com…

Fed’s Rate Cuts Likely to Slow With Inflation Pressures Still Elevated

by Christopher Rugaber
PBS

WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans hoping for lower borrowing costs for homes, credit cards and cars may be disappointed after this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed’s policymakers are likely to signal fewer interest rate cuts next year than were previously expected.

The officials are set to reduce their benchmark rate, which affects many consumer and business loans, by a quarter-point to about 4.3 percent when their meeting ends Wednesday. At that level, the rate would be a full point below the four-decade high it reached in July 2023. The policymakers had kept their key rate at its peak for more than a year to try to quell inflation, until slashing the rate by a half-point in September and a quarter-point last month.

Continue Reading at PBS.org…

Price Growth Ticked Up in November as Inflation Progress Stalls

by Rob Wile
NBC News

Price growth sped up a bit in November, a sign that efforts to cool inflation may be stalling.

Over the past 12 months, the consumer price index climbed 2.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. That was in line with expectations but higher than the 2.6% annual rate in October. On a monthly basis, the index rose 0.3%, faster than the 0.2% rate in the previous month.

Excluding more volatile items like food and gas, the “core” measure of inflation climbed 3.3% on a 12-month basis, the same as in October. On a monthly basis, the core index rose 0.3%, matching its pace for the past three months. The monthly pace of price increases picked up for new cars and apparel, while shelter costs and the category that includes auto insurance showed declines.

Continue Reading at NBCNews.com…

From Gold to Deficits: Why America’s Inflation Crisis Demands Radical Change

From Gold to Deficits: Why America’s Inflation Crisis Demands Radical Change

by Kerry Lutz

The United States is grappling with persistent inflation, driven by structural issues such as the ballooning federal deficit, supply chain disruptions, trade imbalances, and the declining global dominance of the U.S. dollar. The rise in gold prices further underscores the diminishing trust in the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. While these challenges seem daunting, the incoming Trump administration has signaled a strong focus on fiscal responsibility, offering an opportunity to stabilize the economy through innovative approaches such as reviving impoundment authority and exploring Martin Armstrong’s proposed debt-to-equity swap. Together, these strategies could help combat inflation and restore economic stability.

This article examines the causes behind inflation, the role of gold as a barometer of the dollar’s decline, and the bold measures required to address these issues.

Inflation – Not Dead Yet, and Continuity of Government

Sickcare stocks are falling like RFK Jr’s confirmation is a lock, and he’s going to have the political capital to expose their many rackets. Despite inflation moving higher the Fed will most likely cut rates again next week. Because, reasons.

by Dave Fairtex
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

As with the pandemic, the event is probably designed to start slowly, and then escalate over time. I believe many of these “drones” are alien tech created by the “breakaway civilization” group. Not mentioned in the interview – I suspect the ultimate planned event would be a “decapitation” attack, which will be blamed on a false-flag target. Remember them pre-bunking how “Iran wants to assassinate Trump” a month or two back? Senile Joe (and maybe even Cackles) could end up “dying suddenly” following attacks on the White House – but only after all the pre-pardons, of course. If I were Senile Joe & Cackles, I’d hold off with those “pre-pardons” until the very last moment. Trump probably would be a target too.

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

Look at These Egg Prices! 37% of Americans Struggle to Pay Their Most Basic Bills as Food Prices Accelerate Again

by Michael Snyder
The Economic Collapse Blog

When one of my readers sent me a photo of egg prices at a store in western Washington state, I could hardly believe what I was seeing. I clearly remember when I could purchase a carton of quality eggs at the grocery store for just 99 cents, but thanks to inflation and a bird flu crisis that never seems to end, those days are long gone. Now it is common to pay five, six, seven or even eight dollars for a carton of eggs. In fact, it probably won’t be too long before we crack the ten dollar barrier. In the old days, eggs were considered to be a very inexpensive way to feed your family, but now eggs prices have gone completely insane.

[…] Unfortunately, it isn’t just egg prices that are spiking.

According to CNN, we just witnessed the largest monthly jump in grocery prices in almost two years…

Continue Reading at TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com…

The U.S. is Now On Track For a $3.5 Trillion Deficit in 2025

by Ryan McMaken
Mises.org

According to the latest monthly statement from the Treasury Department, the US government spent $668 billion in November, the second month of the 2025 fiscal year. That’s in addition to October’s spending total of $584 billion, for a total of $1.25 trillion in spending so far this year. All that spending is a drain on the real economy. But it gets worse: the federal government has only collected $628 billion in revenue for the same period, meaning the two-month total deficit is now as $624 billion.

That’s the largest total ever for the first two months of the fiscal year, higher even than the $429 billion spent during the first two months of the 2021 fiscal year—October and November 2020. It should not surprise us, then, that the federal government is now on track to have the largest peacetime deficit of all time during the 2025 fiscal year. With the two-month total at over $620 billion, the year-end total is likely to be over $3.5 trillion by the end of the year. That would make the next annual deficit even larger than 2020’s budget busting deficit of 2020 when the covid panic fueled months of runaway spending.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

November CPI Came in “as Expected” Showing Inflation is Sticky

by Mike Maharrey
GoldSeek

It seems the best we can hope for on the inflation front is a CPI report “in line with forecasts.”

The mainstream media was giddy, and the markets responded positively to the November CPI report because every metric came in as expected.

But the report wasn’t good – at least it wasn’t if you’re hoping for some relief from rising prices.

The CPI data indicates that we’re stuck on inflation.

Nevertheless, the report seemed to cement expectations that the Federal Reserve will once again cut interest rates at the December meeting. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch measure, the odds of a December cut rose to 99 percent after the CPI data came out Wednesday.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Economists Trim Fed Rate Cut Estimates On Fear of Trump Inflation Surge

Deregulation, tax cuts and tariffs stoke probability of stubbornly high price growth, FT-Chicago Booth poll finds

by ColSmith and Eva Xiao
FT

The Federal Reserve is set to take a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts on fears that the Trump administration’s policies will stoke higher inflation, according to academic economists polled by the Financial Times.

The economists, who were surveyed between December 11 and 13, moved up their forecasts for the federal funds rate next year compared to the previous FT-Chicago Booth poll in September. The vast majority thought it would hover at 3.5 per cent or higher by the end of 2025, whereas most respondents in September said it would probably fall below 3.5 per cent by that point.

If the Fed follows through with a quarter-point cut at its meeting next week as expected the policy rate will stand at 4.25-4.5 per cent.

Continue Reading at FT.com…

Market Prices Are a Very Unreliable Way to Detect Inflation

by John Tamny
Forbes

If you look at the market prices of consumer goods you’ll much more often than not be blinded to inflation’s truth.

To which more than a few readers will reply that prices are precisely the way to divine inflation. Figure that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is “the price of a weighted average market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households,” and CPI is the commonly accepted measure of inflation by economists.

Except that there’s much economists near monolithically believe that is at odds with reality. The vast majority of economists view Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the standard measure of a country’s economic health, but simple logic tells those without PhDs that GDP is a monument to double counting that would cause even the most crooked of accountants to blanch.

Continue Reading at Forbes.com…