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Why Saudi Arabia’s Futuristic City is a Sign of Major Inflation to Come

by James Hickman
Schiff Sovereign

Did you hear about the new streamlined tourist visa to Saudi Arabia? I’m sure you’re standing in line for it already.

No? Me neither.

I was actually stationed in Saudi Arabia for a while when I was in the Army… and, the most unique ‘tourist’ attraction, at least for non-Muslims, is a place we used to call “Chop Chop Square” where they would do the public beheadings and dismemberments of convicted criminals.

Aside from that, Saudi Arabia has virtually nothing to offer tourists. At least for now.

But over the past few years the government has set itself on a path to building massive futuristic cities and giant resorts in an effort to bring tourists and diversify its economy– including a recently streamlined visa process.

Continue Reading at SchiffSovereign.com…

Fed’s Goolsbee Says Housing Price Pressures Pose Biggest Inflation Risk

by Neils Christensen
Kitco

April 4 (Reuters) – The largest impediment to the U.S. central bank’s efforts to return inflation to its 2% target rate is the persistence of outsized price increases in the housing services sector, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday.

“The biggest danger to the inflation picture in my view… (is) the continued high inflation in housing services,” Goolsbee said in remarks at an event hosted by local business associations in Oak Brook, Illinois.

He added that based on market data on rents for new leases, “I have been expecting it to come down more quickly than it has. If it does not come down, we will have a very difficult time getting overall inflation back to the 2% target.”

Continue Reading at Kitco.com…

Inflation is Down, but It’s Up; Jobs Are Down but They’re Up, Too

by David Haggith
GoldSeek

Payrolls are up again in the latest report, making the Fed’s job a little harder. So are wage gains! However, according to the latest Purchase Managers Index, prices paid on the services side of the economy by producers are down, which means inflation could come down. That’s if you believe it. But how can that be true when recent reports said the opposite and when rising employment coupled with rising wages indicates the opposite as well?

This report is a case where you have to look under the hood to see what the heck is going on. When you do, the numbers don’t even square with themselves. Consider the following peculiar case:

Price pressures are easing as employment rises said the Reuters new report about the Institute for Supply Management’s report.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Fed’s Kashkari Says Quiet Part Out Loud: Maybe No Rate Cuts in 2024 if Inflation Continues to Move “Sideways”

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

The stock market didn’t like that at all.

It was Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s job today to say out loud what we’ve said here at WOLF STREET in the comments for a while, and what others have said, and what other Fed officials have gotten close to saying with their wait-and-see and in-no-rush lingo, but haven’t yet said:

“If we continue to see inflation moving sideways, then that would make me question whether we need to do those rate cuts at all,” he said in an interview with Pensions and Investments Magazine. “There’s a lot of momentum in the economy right now.”

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Why Average Goods Prices Cannot Be Established

by Frank Shostak
Mises.org

The price or the rate of exchange of one good in terms of another is the amount of the other good divided by the amount of the first good. In the money economy, price will be the amount of money divided by the amount of the first good.

Suppose two transactions were conducted. In the first transaction, one TV set is exchanged for $1,000. In the second transaction one shirt is exchanged for $40. The price or the rate of exchange in the first transaction is $1,000 per TV set. The price in the second transaction is $40 per shirt. Could we then establish the average price paid in these two transactions?

In order to calculate the average price, we must add these two ratios and divide them by two. However, $1,000 per TV set cannot be added to $40 per shirt, implying that it is not possible to establish the average price.

Continue Reading at Mises.org…

What to Expect from March’s CPI Inflation Report

by Simon Moore
Forbes

The upcoming Consumer Price Index figures for March will be closely analyzed by Federal Open Market Committee members ahead of their next meeting on May 1. No change in interest rates is expected at the meeting. But relatively benign inflation data could pave the way for a summer interest rate cut, according to the expectations of most FOMC officials and fixed-income markets.

Upcoming Inflation Data

The CPI report for March 2024 will be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on April 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET. As of February’s CPI report, annual inflation is 3.2%, or 3.8% excluding food and energy. That data compares with the FOMC’s annual inflation target of 2%.

Continue Reading at Forbes.com…

Fed Chair Jerome Powell Pumps Brakes On Rate Cuts

“We have time to let the incoming data guide our decisions,” Powell said.

by Max Zahn
ABC News

The Federal Reserve will see if inflation moves beyond its current rough patch before imposing highly anticipated interest rate cuts, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday.

Addressing a business conference at Stanford University, Powell touted progress in the fight to cool price increases while acknowledging that such headway had stalled in recent months.

“On inflation, it’s too soon to say whether the recent readings represent more than just a bump,” Powell said.

“Given the strength of the economy and progress on inflation so far, we have time to let the incoming data guide our decisions on policy,” Powell added.

Continue Reading at ABCNews.Go.com…

Dollar Weakens as U.S. Data Points to Easing Inflation Pressure

by Anya Andrianova and Carter Johnson
BNN Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) — A dollar gauge saw its biggest drop in nearly four weeks on Wednesday as price pressures in the US services industry eased and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he wants to see inflation move sustainably to the US central bank’s 2% goal before starting to lower interest rates.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell as much as 0.4% on an intraday basis on Wednesday — the steepest decline since March 8 — with nearly all currencies from developed economies gaining against the greenback. Growth in the US services sector eased last month while a gauge of input costs decreased to a four-year low, according to a report by the Institute for Supply Management.

Continue Reading at BNNBloomberg.ca…

Biden On Inflation: Covid Will Have ‘Lasting Effect’ and Must ‘Get People to Move Again’ and Improve ‘Best Economy’

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Monday’s broadcast of NBC’s “Today,” President Joe Biden responded to a question on what he would say to people whose money isn’t going as far due to inflation by saying, “we have the best economy in the world. We’ve got to make it better.” And “we’re going to find out that what happened as a consequence of the crisis we had on health is going to have a lasting effect. We’ve just got to get people to move again. We’re ready. I think the country’s ready to come together…I’m truly optimistic.”

Co-host Al Roker asked, “When people are saying, but, Mr. President, I’m feeling — my buck isn’t going as far, what do you say to those folks about the economy and what’s going on?”

Biden responded, “I say we have the best economy in the world. We’ve got to make it better. We really do have the best economy in the world. Jobs are up more than they’ve ever been.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Housing’s Outsized Role in the Fed’s Inflation Problem: Morning Brief

by Myles Udland
Yahoo! Finance

The Federal Reserve’s inflation story is all about housing.

Right now, the gap between the Fed’s preferred inflation measure and the most popular inflation measure is a full percentage point. But how the two series account for the cost of shelter yields a 1.5 percentage point gap between them — a difference that’s offset by other components to its current gap at the bottom of the ledger.

In a new report out Monday, the economics team at Wells Fargo led by Sarah House and Aubrey George explored the gap between two closely watched measures of inflation — core CPI and core PCE.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…