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Dr. Copper’s Breakout Message, Services Inflation & TikTok-Gate

The metals rally – especially in copper – came alongside indicators of ongoing inflation. Meanwhile confidence continues to collapse. Deservedly so. But one dividend: the truth continues to emerge, as ancient frauds (vaxes against infection/transmission of respiratory viruses just can’t work) are revealed for all to see.

by Dave Fairtex
Chris Martenson’s Peak Prosperity

There were four major reports this week: the CPI (Tuesday), PPI + Retail Sales (Thursday), and Industrial Production (Friday). CPI showed inflation – the Fed-and-MSM-baffling (worker-shortage-induced) “services inflation.” PPI inflation is also starting to pick up once again, while retail sales remain strong. Industrial production is flat, but down from the highs. More buying, higher prices, more expensive labor, but flat production.

Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation, February: Inflation Saga far from Over, Core CPI & Core Services in Ominous 6-Month Trend (source – wolfstreet);

Great details from Wolf. Cherry-picking, month-over-month changes, and multiplying by 12 to annualize. Try to avoid heart failure for some of these items:

Continue Reading at PeakProsperity.com…

Short-Term Treasury Market Walks Away From Rate-Cut Mania, Inflation Has Upper Hand

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

One-year yield rose to 5.05%, highest since December 12.

From mid-October through the end of January, the 6-month Treasury yield had dropped by about 43 basis points, from around 5.58% to 5.15% (green box in the chart below). This means roughly, that at the end of January, the 6-month yield – a calculated composite representing securities with about six months left before they mature – saw two rate cuts within its six-month window, spread over the three FOMC rate announcements on March 20, May 1, and June 12. So roughly two rate cuts by the June meeting.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Acting Labor Secretary: Wages Haven’t Kept Up with Inflation Under Biden, Ignoring Warnings About Overstimulus ‘Paid Off’

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

During an interview with CBS’s “The Takeout” podcast that took place before the release of the February inflation numbers that showed a drop in real wages from January to February, acting Labor Secretary Julie Su acknowledged that wages have not kept up with inflation since President Joe Biden’s first full month in office back in February 2021. And that President Joe Biden’s response to those who said, “you can’t put too much money out into people’s pockets, that’s going to be a bad thing,” “was, no, I’d rather go too big than too small here. And that has paid off beautifully, in terms of the recovery.” And that Biden responded to those who thought the spending in the American Rescue Plan was too much by taking the approach that “there’s no such thing as too much” “good for the American worker.”

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Up for Inflation, Down for Stocks and Bond Values

by David Haggith
GoldSeek

Who would have thought, in an investing world where the techiest people who built the high tech that both ran and drove the stock market explosively, that it would be laid-off tech employees who express a “sense of impending doom” over job cuts? The answer to that would be anyone who lived through the dot-com bust at an age that was paying attention. And that’s where we are today, according to a story about the sad faces of techies, who face the highest layoffs since 2001.

As they struggle to find new positions, they are also being pressed to accept pay cuts. It’s that dismal for those in the big-money realm.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Stock Market Today: Wall Street Slips Further Away From Records Amid Inflation Worries

BEIJING — Stocks fell in early trading and moved further away from a record high set earlier this week. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 53 points, or 0.1%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.7%.

by Damian J. Troise, The Associated Press
Times-Colonist

BEIJING — Stocks fell in early trading and moved further away from a record high set earlier this week. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 53 points, or 0.1%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.7%. Treasury yields edged higher in the bond market. Adobe slumped after giving investors a weak revenue forecast. Investors are closing out a week of heavy economic reports that showed inflation, though broadly cooling, remains hotter than expected. The reports have raised concerns about the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates, though Wall Street still sees potential for a cut in June.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.

Wall Street posted small gains in early trading Friday as markets try to close out another up-and-down week on the positive side.

Continue Reading at TimesColonist.com…

Jerome Powell Just Revealed a Hidden Reason Why Inflation is Staying High: The Economy is Increasingly Uninsurable

by Marco Quiroz-Gutierrez
Yahoo! Finance

Troublesomely high inflation rates may have an overlooked metric at their source: soaring insurance costs. But don’t take our word for it, just listen to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

Several types of insurance, including home and car insurance, have surged over the past few years, and it’s hurting the Fed’s effort to get interest rates down to its 2% target, Powell said in congressional testimony last week.

“Insurance of various different kinds—housing insurance, but also automobile insurance, and things like that—that’s been a significant source of inflation over the last few years,” he said.

On Tuesday, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that its metric for auto insurance, which covers physical damage, liability, and miscellaneous insurance coverage for private passenger vehicles, increased 20.6% over the past year and climbed 0.9% in February compared to the month prior.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

White House: We’re Still Making Inflation Progress, Last Two Months Had ‘Seasonality’

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

During an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday, White House National Economic Council Deputy Director Daniel Hornung stated that “our progress on inflation does continue,” but “we’ve expected some seasonality in January and February. We didn’t expect the progress to continue on a straight line.”

Hornung said, “I won’t comment on monetary policy and the Federal Reserve. I think what I can say, if you take a step back, our progress on inflation does continue, down from a peak of 9% to the 3% range. Always, I think, we’ve expected some seasonality in January and February. We didn’t expect the progress to continue on a straight line. But I think if you look at what we have from CPI and PPI and now looking ahead to core PCE for the month of February, expect some continued progress there on that core annual inflation number.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

The Federal Budget Deficit Was Back to “Normal” (Massive) in February

by Mike Maharrey
GoldSeek

Thanks to record tax receipts, the January budget deficit was “only” $21.93 billion in January.

In February, government receipts fell back to normal. Spending was normal too – normally high. As a result, the February budget deficit was back to normal – massive.

The Biden administration ran a $296.28 billion budget shortfall last month, according to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement. With that, the fiscal 2024 budget deficit is knocking on the door of $1 trillion ($828.14 billion) with more than half a year to go.

The U.S. Treasury took in $271.13 billion in February. That was a slight increase from $262.11 billion in government receipts a year ago.

Continue Reading at GoldSeek.com…

Janet Yellen Warns Inflation Decline Might Not Be ‘Smooth’

Yellen discusses inflation, higher taxes in exclusive interview

by Megan Henney , Edward Lawrence
Fox Business

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Wednesday that inflation could face a bumpy return to normal after back-to-back reports showed that price pressures within the U.S. economy rebounded at the start of the year.

In a sit-down interview with FOX Business’ Edward Lawrence, Yellen pushed back against stagflation concerns and maintained that progress on inflation has not stalled.

“I wouldn’t expect this to be a smooth path month to month, but the trend is clearly favorable,” she said. “That said, President Biden’s top priority is addressing the issue of high costs that concerns so many Americans.”

Continue Reading at FoxBusiness.com…

What the PPI is Telling Us: Disinflation in “Core Goods,” a Hefty Counterweight to Hot Services Inflation, May Be Over

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

And that’s very disconcerting.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand jumped by 6.9% annualized in February from January, on top of the 3.9% jump in the prior month. The three-month rate jumped to 3.3% annualized, the highest since September.

Part of this was driven by a renewed surge in energy cost. But the other part was driven not only by surging costs in services – we knew that – but now also by surging costs in core goods, and that’s very disconcerting.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

Spring Breakers Slam Bidenflation: ‘I Paid $8 for Big Mac Meal Weeks Ago – Now I’m Paying $12!’

Gen. Z keenly aware everything costing more under Joe Biden.

by Infowars.com
Info Wars

Fox News hit the beaches of Fort Lauderdale this week to informally poll Gen. Z Spring Break revelers, asking what they think of Joe Biden’s disastrous economy and the upcoming election.

While most Zoomers were more concerned with partying, some gave interesting takes on the state of the world, with many commenting on the cost of goods increasing as inflation soars under Biden.

Check out a short clip below, where one reveler lamented the price of a Big Mac meal from McDonald’s rising by $4, an increase of 50%.

Continue Reading at InfoWars.com…

Another Inflation Wave is Underway

from King World News

Another inflation wave is underway, and the Fed will have to decide whether to cut rates into inflation.

Sentiment In A Stock Market Mania

March 14 (King World News) – Peter Boockvar: When highlighting stock market sentiment data strictly to take the temperature of the room and watching out for extremes, both bullish and bearish, from a contrarian standpoint, I’ve mentioned that a 40 point spread between the Bulls and Bears in the Investors Intelligence survey should be considered extreme. Well, yesterday’s survey revealed an uber extreme read as Bulls got above 60 at 60.9 while Bears fell to just 14.5 from 16 last week where you now need a telescope to find a Bear.

Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…