Treasury Yield Curve Flattens as 10-Year Yield Falls, Short-Term Yields Stay Put: Fed’s Pivot to Wait-and-See in Inflationary Times., but Mortgage Rates Stay Near 7%.

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

Long-term yields matter to the economy. So how to get the 10-year yield down? Not with rate cuts, obviously. That flopped and had the opposite effect. But with a three-pronged strategy.

The 10-year Treasury yield dropped by 8 basis points on Friday, to 4.43%, perhaps inspired by iffy feelings elsewhere as stocks careened lower and investors sought safety.

Since January 10, the 10-year yield has now given up 34 basis points of that 114-basis-point spike that it had experienced from mid-September 2024, just before the Fed’s first cut, through January 10, 2025. Over this period of surging long-term yields, the Fed had cut its short-term policy rates by 100 basis points.

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