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Bitcoin: How I Learned to Stop Worrying About Hyperinflation and Love Cryptos

by Kerry Lutz

In recent years, the financial world has witnessed a fascinating tug-of-war between gold and cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. People who extol the virtues of being able to hold a tangible asset in your hands, mostly older, have been slow to accept the virtues of Bitcoin. While gold has long been the go-to store of value and hedge against economic uncertainty, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have emerged as strong competitors, attracting a new generation of investors. This dynamic has had a significant impact on the price of gold, and many experts argue that cryptocurrencies are playing a role in keeping gold prices lower than they might otherwise be. While this thesis may not be provable, it has a certain intuitive appeal. And it’s important to realize holding gold and crypto are not mutually exclusive.

Fed Favoring Slower Rate Cuts, Predicts Inflation to Run Higher

by Jennifer Schonberger
Yahoo! Finance

The Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes show officials believe inflation can take longer than anticipated to reach the 2% goal, citing risks from trade and immigration policies.

Yahoo Finance senior Fed reporter Jennifer Schonberger joins Market Domination to discuss the central bank officials’ preference toward keeping interest rates higher for longer or possibly slowing down their pace of rate cuts if elevated inflation persists.

In the video above, Schonberger joins Josh Lipton and Julie Hyman to also uncover then tensions between President-elect Donald Trump and the Fed — namely chair Jerome Powell — over interest rates.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

Dem Rep. Lofgren: People Care More About Struggles with Inflation Than Stuff From Four Years Ago

by Ian Hanchett
Breitbart.com

On Monday’s edition of NBC’s “MTP Now,” Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) stated that “We have prices that are too high for people” and the large spike in prices “has really been very troubling and difficult for a lot of American families. And I think that was top of mind to many voters, not the events of four years ago” of January 6.

Host Gabe Gutierrez asked, “Congresswoman, we’ve seen statement after statement from Democrats urging people to never forget, but is it possible that many Americans just don’t care at this point?”

Lofgren responded, “Well, it’s hard to know. I do think elections are decided on many factors. We have prices that are too high for people. During the pandemic, prices went way up for a variety of reasons, and they didn’t come back down. And that has really been very troubling and difficult for a lot of American families. And I think that was top of mind to many voters, not the events of four years ago.

Continue Reading at Breitbart.com…

Federal Reserve Worried About How Trump Policies On Tariffs and Immigration Could Impact Inflation, Minutes Show

Federal Reserve officials discussed concerns about how the policies of President-elect Donald Trump will impact the central bank’s commitment to bring inflation back down to its 2% target — and investors have rapidly adjusted their expectations for interest rates in 2025, fearing higher rates for longer.

by Derek Saul
Forbes

Key Facts

– The minutes from the hawkish Dec. 18 meeting of the Fed’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee, which came out Wednesday afternoon, revealed the root of the pause from Fed staff: The looming shift in Washington.

– “The effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy suggested” restoring 2% inflation “could take longer than previously anticipated,” according to the minutes.

– And “almost all” Fed officials “judged that upside risks to the inflation outlook had increased,” the release stated.

Continue Reading at Forbes.com…

Why Used-Vehicle Prices May Put Upward Pressure On CPI, After Having Been a Powerful Contributor to Cooling Inflation

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

The new-vehicle shortages of 2021-2022 now mean lower supply to the used-vehicle market, amid solid demand.

Used-vehicle prices, which had spiked over the two-year span 2020-2021 by 65% on the wholesale side and by 55% on the retail side, provided rocket fuel to inflation. Then, as prices careened down in 2022 through 2023, giving up about half of the wholesale price spike and about a third of the retail price spike, they contributed to the sharp deflation in durable goods that helped decelerate overall inflation. But this drop in used-vehicle prices petered out in 2024, amid solid demand facing tight inventories due to reduced supply from rental fleets and lease terminations.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

CNBC Daily Open: Markets Shrug Off Inflation Warnings

by Yeo Boon Ping
CNBC.com

What you need to know today

Fed cautious about inflation and Trump’s policies
At their December meeting, U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed concern that inflation would stubbornly remain above the central bank’s 2% target, and over the possible impact of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s policies. Consequently, officials would be moving more slowly on interest rate cuts, minutes released Wednesday showed.

Stocks shrugged off inflation concerns
U.S. stocks eked out a small gain on Wednesday even though the 10-year Treasury yield
touched to its highest since April following the release of the Fed’s minutes. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index lost 0.19%, relinquishing earlier gains after flash data by the European Commission showed that EU economic sentiment indicator had dropped 1.7 points in December.

Continue Reading at CNBC.com…

Wall Street Ends Lower as Inflation Fears Mount

by Johann M Cherian, Sukriti Gupta and Carolina Mandl
Yahoo! Finance

(Reuters) -U.S. stocks tumbled on Tuesday after a batch of upbeat economic data raised concerns that an inflation rebound could slow down the Federal Reserve’s pace of monetary policy easing.

Stocks gave up early gains after a Labor Department report showed job openings unexpectedly increased in November, while a separate report said services sector activity accelerated in December with a measure tracking input prices surging to a near two-year high.

“Markets are starting to recognize that they thought we were in the eighth inning of the inflation fight but now it’s going to be higher for longer,” said Joe Mazzola, head of trading and derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab.

Continue Reading at Finance.Yahoo.com…

Eurozone Inflation Bumps Up Again Causing Political Discomfort

Increasing prices for energy and services drive the raise.

by Carlo Martuscelli
Politico

Inflation in the eurozone quickened in December for the second month in a row, as rising prices for energy and services kept it uncomfortably above the European Central Bank’s target.

Consumer prices rose by 2.4 percent on an annual basis across the currency area, up from 2.2 percent in November, Eurostat said in a release. In monthly terms, prices rose 0.4 percent.

Inflation in services remains the biggest contributor, up 4.0 percent annually, and up a chunky 0.8 percent just from November. Energy prices rose 0.6 percent on the month, bringing them back above year-earlier levels after four months of annual deflation. Price increases for unprocessed food, meanwhile, slowed to 1.7 percent annually from 2.3 percent the month before.

Continue Reading at Politico.eu…

Labor Market Dynamics Retighten, Job Openings Jump Again. Fed Faces Scenario of Solid Job Market, Re-accelerating Inflation.

by Wolf Richter
Wolf Street

In light of this scenario, the Fed has been backpedaling on rate-cut expectations for two months.

October’s majestic jump in job openings was revised even higher, and in November, job openings jumped by another 259,000, to 8.10 million (blue in the chart below), the highest since May and well above the prepandemic record in late 2018, and the three-month average (red) rose for the second month in a row, as the underlying dynamics of the labor market retightened, according to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics today. This data is based on surveys of about 21,000 work locations, and not on online job listings.

Continue Reading at WolfStreet.com…

The End of Economic Growth: Energy Shortages Drive Global Downturn

from Zero Hedge

Authored by Gail Tverberg via Our Finite World,

  • The global economy is expected to enter a recession in 2025 due to a decline in the availability of crude oil, coal, and uranium relative to population.
  • Government attempts to stimulate the economy through debt will lead to inflation rather than growth, as energy supplies are constrained.
  • High interest rates, low energy prices, and a decline in industrial output will characterize the economic landscape in 2025.

As the world enters 2025, the critical issue we are facing is Peak Crude Oil, relative to population. Crude oil has fallen from as much as .46 gallons per person, which was quite common before the pandemic, to close to .42 gallons per person recently (Figure 1).

Continue Reading at ZeroHedge.com…

Europe’s Inflation Rate Rose 2.4% in December

by Baystreet Staff
Bay Street

Inflation across Europe rose for a third consecutive month in December to reach an annualized 2.4%, according to statistics agency Eurostat.

The December reading was in line with the consensus forecasts of economists polled by the Reuters news agency and marked an increase from 2.2% in November.

Core inflation remained unchanged at 2.7% for a fourth month, also meeting economists’ expectations. However, services inflation increased to 4% from 3.9%.

The latest rise in consumer prices will be closely watched by the European Central Bank (ECB), which is expected to lower interest rates from 3% to 2% throughout this year.

Inflation in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, hit a higher-than-expected 2.9% in December. At the same time, inflation in France came in at 1.8%, below forecasts calling for a 1.9% rise.

Continue Reading at BayStreet.ca…